BridgeMatters

This blog provides supplementary thoughts and ideas to the www.bridgematters.com site. If you haven't seen the main site, there is a lot there including the Martel and Rodwell interviews, photos, and articles. This blog is focused on advancing bridge theory by discussing the application of new ideas. All original content is copyright 2009 Glen Ashton.

Friday, October 31, 2008

Treasure Mine - Systems & Style - Chapter 3 - 2H with less than 8 - Part I

The recent world championship gives us a treasure trove that can be examined to study systems and style implications for success. For this final chapter of the study we will look at when 2H was opened with less than 8 - Halloween will bring out the macabre openings!

The first 11 rounds didn't have any 2H openings with less than 8, until board 176 (board 16 of round 11):

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In the Open Room of Norway-Spain, the Spanish West opened 2H (6H, 6-10) and East decided to ask with 2NT - this gave NS the room to reach 6S, making:



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In the Closed room, West passed, then bounced to 4H:


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In Sweden-Netherlands the Dutch West opened 2D, Multi (usually 6Hs, 3-10, or strong hand types), and East bid 2H, pass or correct (giving bidding space in case West had a strong hand type) - NS did not try for slam:


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In the Closed Room another Multi (5-9 points, no strong hand type), this time East used the 2S pass or correct bid - North got into the bidding, South tried for slam, but North didn't think the shape was worth bidding again):


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In the Germany-USA match, another pass then bounce by West:


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In the closed room Meckwell got to 4H quickly, South overcalled 4S and North gave that a lot of leeway by passing:


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Round 12 saw a single table try out a 2H opening with less than 8:


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In the Canada-France Open Room a relatively quiet auction got Canada +140 in 3S:
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In the Closed Room the 2H (5+Hs and 4+ minor, 3-10) opening got to 3NT, down 1, but winning 3 IMPs:
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In Italy-South Africa, the South African East rebid just 2C, but then drove the partnership to 5D when West competed:


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5D was down. In the Closed Room North finally introduced spades on his third bid, giving South reason not to support the belated spades, and 3D made 4 for 5 IMPs:
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In Argentina-Russia Open Room North opened 2S (6Ss, 3-9) and South decided not to raise - this got EW to 3NT down 1.
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In the Closed Room Russia opened a Multi (usually 6 in the major, 5-10, no strong hand type). Over the double, South bid 3H pass or correct, and 3S was worth +140 and 3 IMPs.
Treasure Mine - Systems & Style - Chapter 0 - 1NT with less than 11

The recent world championship gives us a treasure trove that can be examined to study systems and style implications for success. For this short chapter of the study we will look at when 1NT was opened with less than 11. The reason why this is chapter 0 is that it occurred too few times.

Five pairs with at least average Butlers (scoring compared to rest of field) were using 1NT that could be less than 11 - in the order found in the round robin Butlers:

1) Roumen TRENDAFILOV - Kalin KARAIVANOV - Bulgaria - NV vs. V 1/2: 9-12
2) Zvi ENGEL - Bernard DEHAYE - Belgium - NV 1/2: 9-11
3) Slawek ZAWISLAK - Boguslaw PAZUR - Poland - NV: 10+-13
4) Lauri NABER - Leo LUKS - Estonia - NV: 10.5-13
5) Sverrir ARMANNSSON - Adalsteinn JORGENSEN - Iceland - NV: 10-12

From the Vugraph records there were only two hands. First, from the round robin Bulgaria vs. Chinese Taipei:

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North doubled to show values, and it appears South bid 2C as a general run-out, while North took it as natural and weak. That was -200 while NS in the Open Room were collecting +50 against 3S.

In the last segment of the quarterfinals, in Italy against Poland, the Closed Room NS had a four bid sequence to 4S - with trumps 2-2 and hearts 4-2, that was making six:

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In the Open Room the 1NT opening started North off with a double to show values:

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Redouble showed clubs, or diamonds & a major, and EW found the club fit. South simply jumped to 3S to force and reached 4S.

There are too few hands to do an analysis here, but here are the findings from previous events:

- opening 10 (or 9) balanced does not generate much IMPs against world class opponents (see the second board above) - since opening 10 balanced forces system adjustments elsewhere (to handle balanced hands 10 upwards), you might as well pass them

- opening 10 balanced does generate IMPs against weaker and/or unprepared opponents (see the first board above), but you don't need to open 1NT to generate the IMPs - it can be anything - generally you want to open the bidding as much as possible against opponents who are not very good and not very bad - for very bad opponents, passing works since they will often bid themselves to the wrong spot.

Thursday, October 30, 2008

Treasure Mine - Systems & Style - Chapter 2 - 4cM - Part VI of VI

(The recent world championship gives us a treasure trove that can be examined to study systems and style implications for success. For this chapter of the study, 4cM stands for 4 card majors, and our look at the recent world championships will focus on the use of openings that show 4 card majors).

Even with two of the three English pairs using 4cMs, there wasn't much 4cM action in the finals.


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On board 21 of the second segment the 4cM opening found the 4-4 fit fast - the jump to 3S was a fit showing jump.

At the other table both North and East passed first, and then it was 1S-2C(Drury-fit for Ss);-(2D)-2H-4H. Both 4H contracts had no play with 2-2 diamonds in NS.

On board 20 of the fifth segment, the Italians used a standard approach of bidding all the four suits, then final park it in notrump:


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Here we see the Hackett approach - first find 4-3 fits in both majors, then retreat to 3NT:


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Against the Italians, North led a diamond and declarer finished +600. Against the English, South led a club, and in the ending declarer got an overtrick when North discarded a diamond.

Later on board 27 another 4cM opening ends in a notrump contract:

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In the Closed Room it was 1C(could-b-short-as-2)-2C(inverted);-2D-3H(short Hs)-3NT. The Italians got a heart lead, for +430. The English got a diamond lead, for +460.

Chapter 2 analysis:

4cM were not a direct success factor in the world championships. They are certainly playable.

Negatives include:
- A 4cM opening often delivers less playing value than a 5cM opening with the same point count - responder could misjudge how high to compete.
- Responder under pressure may have to resort to a 3 card M raise, sometimes landing in a uncomfortable 4-3 major fit.

Positives include:
- Fast arrival to 4M can generate IMPs
- Can make other openings more natural (see last board where "suit" Italian opened is 62), or fix system gaps.

What happens much of the time:
Same contract at other table, since all systems have methods of investigating for 4cM fits.

Wednesday, October 29, 2008

Treasure Mine - Systems & Style - Chapter 2 - 4cM - Part V

(The recent world championship gives us a treasure trove that can be examined to study systems and style implications for success. For this chapter of the study, 4cM stands for 4 card majors, and our look at the recent world championships will focus on the use of openings that show 4 card majors).

The semi-finals had these pairs using some form of 1st/2nd seat 4cMs:

1 Geir HELGEMO - Tor HELNESS, Norway - 1H Opening
2 Terje AA - Jorgen MOLBERG, Norway - 1H Opening
3 Andreas KIRMSE - Michael GROMOELLER, Germany - 1H Opening
4 David GOLD - Tom TOWNSEND, England - 1H/S Openings
5 Jason HACKETT - Justin HACKETT, England - 1H/S Openings

That is 5 of the 12 pairs in the open semi-finals were using some form of 4cMs, in 1st and 2nd seat, and not in a big club system. We haven't seen that in ages, and it's one of the reasons why we are looking at how these methods did in the event.

In both semi-final matches we saw a 4cM opening with a 3-4-3-3 - here are Helness-Helgemo:

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The Hacketts had the same HH auction in the England-Germany match. In that match, both Easts led a club against 3NT and both Wests got in with the spade ace to switch to a red suit - England switched to a heart (even though North had bid hearts), 3NT making, Germany switched to a diamond, 3NT down 1. Italy also switched to heart, 3NT making, while the West for Norway led a diamond against 3NT by South (North passed, South opened 1NT 12-14) - this created three diamond tricks to go with the major aces for down one.

Board 14 saw the Hacketts create a problem for the German West:


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South opened 1S with a 4-2-3-4 13 count, and over West's double, North made a raise to 2S with 4Ss and 1 point - with a good raise North would make an artificial bid to show it. This left West with a rebid problem, which he nicely solved with 3NT.

Board 22 of the match saw a German 4cM opening:


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At both tables 4H was reached, down one. On board 26, England started with a 4cM:



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The Hacketts reached the same 4H contract as the Closed Room. Note East's rebid of 2NT even with no diamond stopper - 2NT is used here to show hand type (only 4Ss, no good rebid), and does not promise stoppers.
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England made the contract when North underled the club ace to declarer's jack. Declarer arranged a diamond ruff and wrapped up 620. At the other table a heart lead was won the heart ace (not best on this layout), and declarer played a club to the jack and ace, and North cash the heart king and switched to diamonds. Declarer had no quick entry back to dummy's good clubs and was down.
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The first board of the 4th segment saw a 1S opening by England:


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The Vugraph record is incorrect here - I believe East passed and the complete auction is 1S-2C;-2NT, by NS, making three. In the Closed Room it was 1NT(11-13)-3C(invite);-3NT, and with a spade lead and the club king nicely placed, that was making three for 6 IMPs to Germany, now ahead 99-85.

The next board had the Hacketts showing suit quality is not a consideration for their 4cM openings:


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2S was +110. In the Open Room, the English NS decided to balance against a slow auction to 2S, and since opener had rebid 1H, ended up picking the 4-3 diamond fit to play in, for -200, and 3 IMPs to Germany, now ahead 102-85. The next four boards were 4, 17, 2, and 13 IMPs to England, and after a series of battles England finished the segment 152-123, well on their way to the finals.

Monday, October 27, 2008

Treasure Mine - Systems & Style - Chapter 2 - 4cM - Part IV

(The recent world championship gives us a treasure trove that can be examined to study systems and style implications for success. For this chapter of the study, 4cM stands for 4 card majors, and our look at the recent world championships will focus on the use of openings that show 4 card majors).

While the Round of 16 was quiet for 4cM fireworks, the quarterfinals were not, starting with board 5 of the first of six segments:






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Most NS pairs would not go plus on this board - some reached 3C which starts off with four trump losers, plus side suit slow losers - at the table shown above the German EW got to 3D making. In the Open Room, the German 4cM pair got to 1H making two in one bid:

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The was 6 IMPs. On board 8, their 4cM approach found 4H easily:

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In the Closed Room, 1NT was (12)13-15, and South was contented to find 2H spot:

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That was 6 more IMPs to Germany, who won the first segment 44-19.

In the second segment, we see another example of a 4cM pair having to resort of a 3 card raise - here North out of room bids 3H over 3D. Both tables played in 5D doubled, for a push.

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The third segment shows another 3 card raise, but under no pressure:

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Here 1C was 4+Hs, and North decided to place the contract in 2H if South was minimum - at the other table 1NT was the contract for a push:

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The final board of the 3rd segment saw the opening suit shown to responder key in the decision for responder:

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In the Open Room, shown above, North made a natural 1C opening, and this encouraged South to drive to a club slam. Note the 1S bid by South, over the 1H overcall, denies 4+Ss in their methods, and then 3S showed the singleton/void in spades and slam interest.

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In the Closed Room, 1D showed 4+Ss and said nothing about either minor - thus South was concerned about a misfit and has happy to defend 1H doubled and vulnerable for penalty. 6C was down two, 1H down one, for 7 IMPs to Poland, still much behind in their match against Italy.

The fourth segment saw lots of action on the second last board:

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The Italians had a straight forward auction to 4H, Polland overcalling 2C natural, and Versace trying for slam with 4D, but North not moving forward concerned about wasted club values in the South hand after the 2NT bid showed a stopper.

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In the Closed Room 1C showed 4+Hs, and North jammed to 4H - a nice shot but not very descriptive opposite the wide ranging 1C opening. West had no idea whose hand it was and doubled. East with nothing decided to pass and making 5 was worth 990 to NS and 8 IMPs to Italy, down only 22 IMPs behind.

In the England-Romania match, Gold Townsend use 4cMs, but often open the cheapest of 4 card suits:

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At the other table, with Romania well behind, they quickly reached 6H:

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With the hand having four trumps holding four diamonds this hand played like a dream to make the slam - still Romania had too much ground to make up.

Segment 5 had some 4cM action, but nothing worth posting. Segment 6 started with a 4cM opening and a big swing:

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In the Closed Room, showed above, the auction started 1D-1S;-2C-?. Now West bid 2H fourth suit forcing, and East finally admitted to 4Hs. West having wasted spade values opposite the spade void, signed off in 4H.

In the Open Room:

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1C showed 4Hs and the Poles used some science to reach 6H, a very nice spot if trumps are 3-2, and has some play on some 4-1 trump layouts. Making slam was 11 IMPs to Poland.

They later (on board 24) had another 4cM opening to reach game, but the Italians easiy matched it by opening 1NT and using Stayman. 4cM openings were not involved any further in the match, and Italians won 210-173.

Sunday, October 26, 2008

Treasure Mine - Systems & Style - Chapter 2 - 4cM - Part III

(The recent world championship gives us a treasure trove that can be examined to study systems and style implications for success. For this chapter of the study, 4cM stands for 4 card majors, and our look at the recent world championships will focus on the use of openings that show 4 card majors).

Round 8 saw the 4cM approach in the first two boards of the Bulgaria-Poland match:

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In the Open Room the Precision 2C opening prevented East from showing spades, and NS had the auction to themselves to 5D - a nice contract that ran into diamonds offside for down one.


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In the Closed Room, EW got to 4S quickly. North didn't know whether to support diamonds at the five level. South didn't know if 3Hs were sufficient support opposite 4+Hs (1C showed 4+Hs, nothing about clubs). As it was, South doubled and picked up IMPs with the contracts failing by one in both rooms.

The next board showed some of the seemingly random swings that occur due to transfer openings.


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In the Open Room South opened a Big Club and NS eventually got to 5H - 4S by EW was down two if NS managed the club ruff. 5H hinged on the diamond guess, and at this table declarer played West to have it.

In the Closed Room:


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1C showed 4+Hs, 2H was spades and a minor (Michaels) and double by South showed extras. Here in the play West started diamonds at some point, picking up the suit for declarer, and 14 IMPs to Poland.

We jump all the way to round 15 before seeing big IMPs exchanged with 4cMs. East for Portugal opens 1S, and in four total bids, 1S-2C;-2D-4S EW reach the 4-3 spade fit, failing, instead of making 3NT at the other table:


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Perhaps East was expected to rebid 2NT if a flat hand, or perhaps West has to bid slower over 2D to allow East to show the hand type.

In Round 17, Norway battled Poland:


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1D showed 4+Ss. Now we were supposed to focus on 1st and 2nd seat 4cM openings, but I've included this to show style considerations. East showed a 6-8 raise to 2S with 4Ss, and West, with only 11, took at stab at 4S as a mite-make/mite-b-cheap proposition. On some other layouts, 4H could make, but on those 4SX would be quite expensive. I think EW are over-competing on a nine card fit with no singletons/voids. Is this a fallout of their 4cM style? - that is, if 1S was usually 5+, would the West hand take another bid over 4H?

The round of 16 was quiet for 4cMs - either the 4cM opening found a nice fit or there was none - either way there was nothing much to report, aside from the hand where Meckwell used a four card overcall over the 1D 4+Ss opening - this was reported in the October 12th posting, and is more of question of how to compete than about the 4cM style.

Saturday, October 25, 2008

Treasure Mine - Systems & Style - Chapter 2 - 4cM - Part II

(The recent world championship gives us a treasure trove that can be examined to study systems and style implications for success. For this chapter of the study, 4cM stands for 4 card majors, and our look at the recent world championships will focus on the use of openings that show 4 card majors).

Round 4 saw the New Zealand-Spain match and board 27:


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Reid, West for New Zealand, opened 1D showing 4+Hs, can have a longer second suit. North passed, and East raised hearts to 2H. Now West bid 2S to show longer spades, and extras (they open quite light), so they had a way out of the 4-3 fit and into the 6-2 when opener had enough to bid again. Now North decided to come in with 3D, which only went 1 down and gained 2 IMPs compared to 2S making in the other room - some days 3D will be doubled and down a bunch.

At the end of the match, the New Zealand West had:


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The auction was 1D-1S-?, with 1D showing 4+Hs. West bid 2H. The actual result of this hand is not important (the decision for NS is to play 3S or 4S and the play is complex), but I've included it to show how even flat hands with just 3Hs will raise the 4cM opening.

We now bounce to round 7 and the Australian-Germany match. This was board 4:


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With a minor suit opening, East used a negative double and East-West found the heart fit - however when South rebid 3C, East did not compete further - why? - 1D was 1+D 11-15, often 12-14 balanced, and thus East did not know of the double red fit. 3C made for +110.

Now for the closed room auction:


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1D showed 4+Hs, and 2S was a cuebid for Hs with the four card support - this seems like a stretch but East must have liked the two bullets (aces) - West showed the second suit, and East bid to the awful 4H, down 200. Still this was only 3 IMPs, given NS had +110 in the other room.

Board 7 of the match had a bigger swing:


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Here's the bidding and the play:

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In the open room, West opened a Precision 2C (some pairs would prefer opening 1D with just 5Cs) - East asked with 2D and got to 3NT - South led a spade, giving declarer 8 tricks, and when South got in with the club ace he switched to hearts, establishing declarer's 9th and 10th tricks.

In the closed room, 1D was 4+Ss (can have a longer minor) - 2H by East transferred to 2S and showed some values, and then 3H was natural. NS started clubs, the best suit for EW - when declarer won the second club, he played a diamond to the King - this gave NS three aces and two other diamond tricks, and 12 IMPs to Germany.
Treasure Mine - Systems & Style - Chapter 2 - 4cM - Part I

The recent world championship gives us a treasure trove that can be examined to study systems and style implications for success. For this chapter of the study, 4cM stands for 4 card majors, and our look at the recent world championships will focus on the use of 1st and 2nd seat openings that show 4 card majors. The vast majority of pairs in the open event use 1st and 2nd seat 1H/S openings as promising five card majors, or almost always showing a five card or longer major - sometimes they will put 5(4) on their convention cards to say that a great 4 card suit can open 1H/S, or will have a rare hand type, such as 4-4-1-4 embedded in the 1H or 1S opening, but it is almost always a five card or longer major. A small minority of pairs use a four card major opening of some sort in 1st and 2nd seat.

We will look at these pairs, if they had average or better in the round robin Butler IMP scores - that is the pair, if scored against the rest of the field in the matches they played, did average or better. The pairs we want to look at are (in order they placed in the Butler):

1 Ilan HERBST - Ophir HERBST, Israel - 1H Opening
2 Geir HELGEMO - Tor HELNESS, Norway - 1H Opening
3 Terje AA - Jorgen MOLBERG, Norway - 1H Opening
4 Andreas KIRMSE - Michael GROMOELLER, Germany - 1H Opening
5 David GOLD - Tom TOWNSEND, England - 1H/S Openings
6 Martin REID - Peter NEWELL, New Zealand - Transfer Openings
7 Jason HACKETT - Justin HACKETT, England - 1H/S Openings
8 Slawek ZAWISLAK - Boguslaw PAZUR, Poland - Two-under Transfer Openings
9 Peter GILL - Bobby RICHMAN, Australia - Transfer Openings
* Tom JACOB - Malcolm MAYER - New Zealand - (not included as 4cM only if 15+)
10 Faruk MASIC - Milovan MILOVIC, Bosnia and Herzegovina - Openings showing exact 4
11 Stephen BLACKSTOCK - Stephen HENRY, New Zealand - 1H/S Opening
12 Antonio Victoria LOPES - Vitor DIEGUES, Portugal - 1H/S Openings

For post event review I like using the Swiss federation site, which has the vugraph records in html, txt, and movie formats:

http://www.bridgefederation.ch/2008/wtc/index.html

The Australia-English round 1 match had the North-South pairs exchanging blows with 4 card majors (Gill-Richman with transfer openings). This match and the Norway-Egypt match showed a problem a 4cM approach can give responder:

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Your partner opens 1H. In one match, your RHO overcalls 1S, in another match your RHO overcalls 2S, what do you bid?

At the table where it was 1H-2S-?, responder for Norway, Helness, bid 3H, landed in a 4-3 fit which made +170 opposite the 3-4-3-3 13 count. In the other match, over 1H-1S-?, Gold for England bid 2H, passed back to RHO who bid 2S - now Gold bid 3D and played there for +110. At the other table, Richman bid 2D over 1S, and when this was raised to 3D, now he supported hearts. Over 3H, opener bid 3S, and Richman bid 5D, down 2.

Note if the pairs played the methods of New Zealand's Jacob-Mayer (4cM only possible if 15+), they could support hearts, knowing if opener had only 4Hs he would make another call since 15+. Likewise one can use methods where 1H is flat and/or just 4Hs if minimum values - now responder can bid 2D, and if opener can just raise to 3D, then responder can pass knowing opener does not have a shapely hand with 5+Hs.

In the Israel-Netherlands match, one of the Herbsts opened 1C, not 1H - they play 1H can be a 4cM, but the only hand where they would have to open 1H and not 1m would be 4-4-3-2 exactly.

Board 6 was a four card major opening at one table of Australia-England, but nothing to report.

In round 2, board 22, Zawislak-Pazur for Poland opened 1D showing 4+Ss, but had science to get to the 5-3 fit. The next hand had a 1C opening with 4+Hs, this time landing in 1NT making, while in the open room their teammates got to a 4-3 heart fit over a weak notrump opening, and made this too for 5 IMPs. The final board of the match saw another 1D opening showing 4+Ss, but instead of the 5-3 spade fit they settled for a 4-4 fit fit in 6C - both 6C and 6S making on the calm layout.

In round 3 Zawislak-Pazur continued: board 2 had a 1C 4+H opening to reach the nice 3NT, another 1C opening on board 4 where they stayed low, and a 1D 4+Ss opening on board 6 that prevented the opponents from playing in a nice spade partial.

Board 8 produced a 7 IMP swing, partly on how the spade fit was found:

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Here East doubled to show values, and West showed the 5th spade. In the Open Room, the 5-3 spade fit was found immediately, and then North-South competed to their 9 card diamond fit, and East with short diamonds, but only five spades and a minimum left it there:


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Board 10 showed another slow route to the 5-3 major fit - both tables were down two in 4H.


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And day 1 of the World of 4cM was done.

Wednesday, October 22, 2008

Step right up

A failure to cover produced a step on this speedball hand:

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I got the 4 of hearts lead against my 3NT, which went to the 9, jack, and queen. I played the jack of diamonds, not covered. A spade went to the 8 and ten, and the 6 of hearts came back, 2, 3, ace. Now I ran clubs, reaching this ending with the last club to play:


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On the club queen, North had to keep the heart king, and the two diamonds, and thus discarded down to one spade. Now I played a spade to the ace, and exited with a heart, to get the last two diamonds.

Tuesday, October 21, 2008

success factors for new systems

The 2008 book Here Comes Everybody - The Power of Organizing Without Organizations by Clay Shirky refers to an essay by software engineer Richard Gabriel that "contrasted two programming languages, one elegant but complex versus another that was awkward but simple … the language that was simpler would spread faster, and as a result, more people would come to care about improving the simple language than improving the complex one." (p122)

The actual essay is here: http://www.laputan.org/gabriel/worse-is-better.html, but you may find it a combination of complex and awkward (his rambling style will be no surprise to those who know programming languages and understand Gabriel's preference of LISP over C++). Let me simplify and adapt the points he makes:

- a system that is simple and meets much of the functionality necessary will be preferred to a complex system that meets almost all the requirements;

- a system that is simple will be incrementally improved over time to meet additional requirements, using crowd-sourcing - that is an extensive user base will contribute ideas to improving the system;

- a system that is complex will not be widely used, and over time will lack user contributions towards improvement.

Thus we could have expected that 2/1 would have many adopters, and that the system would then be improved over time (e.g. support doubles, BART, Bergen raises). We could have also expected that complex systems would have few practitioners, and that the development, "play testing", and "battle hardening" of complex systems would be paralyzed. Complex systems, regardless of how elegant, will remain mostly on the shelf, more theoretical demonstrations of bidding approaches than applied methodologies.

This establishes the success factors for a system:
- significantly more effective than the popular systems, but can be far from perfect
- simple
- easy to adopt.

If these three characteristics are met, and the system is available in some readily accessible form (book, on the net), then it will eventually have a growing following, that will adopt, improve, and succeed with the system. These will be the winners.

Sunday, October 19, 2008

Treasure Mine - Systems & Style - Chapter 1 - Australia USA - Part 3 of 3

(The recent world championship gives us a treasure trove that can be examined to study systems and style implications for success - we are looking at Australia USA here)

The match was 36-5 for Australia when board 10 shone:


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Compton open 4D on the 7-5, if "6-5 stay alive", then "7-5 is get alive" and 4D woke everybody up. After 4D-4H-5D-5H;-?, Compton bid 6D unilaterally - we can see that 5H doubled runs into the clubs offside and repeated diamond plays can reduce the South hand to mush. Against 6D, NS can take a heart and a spade, for down one - nice - except Mullamphy led the club ace which set up the club king, and that was +1540.

In the other room, East opened 1H showing spades. NS competed in their ten card fit, and East never mentioned his seven card suit. +650 was nice, but still losing 13 IMPs.


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The 4D, then 6D sequence worked this time, but I can't imagine Hamman was happy with this style - especially one that takes him out of the decision making process.

With the match 39-18 for Australia, board 14 was the final IMP exchange of the match:


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East opened a 15+ big club, Meckstroth came in with a healthy 2C overcall, West had nothing to contribute, and Rodwell bounced with 5C. This left East with a little in extras, and a club void. He doubled and when partner started with a club (reducing the NS hands down to 5-5 in trumps) Meckstroth set up the 5th spade and that was +550 - a heart lead would have set it.


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This was the closed room auction. Playing in 5D doubled would have produced a cute result - +550 for both USA pairs. Instead Compton ran back to 5H, which looks like he didn't trust Hamman's pass of the double. According to the vugraph play record, Compton played hearts with ace and another, losing to the heart king. Now 5H is down, but not so fast. After winning the heart king, North played a club, ruffed by East, who then played the diamond 3. South covered with the diamond 5, and declarer covered this with the 8 (saving the diamond 7 for a later beer). South's failure to play any diamond but the 5 reduced his diamond tricks to one and 5H rolled in for +450 and 14 IMPs.

The final score was 39-32 Australia in a match that showed some of the strengths and flaws of each team.
Treasure Mine - Systems & Style - Chapter 1 - Australia USA - Part 2 of 3

(The recent world championship gives us a treasure trove that can be examined to study systems and style implications for success - we are looking at Australia USA here)

Board 5 saw a 5-over-5 bid by Meckstroth. First before we show the hand let's go over their notrump defense. Over as a strong NT, it's Meckwell:
Double: a minor, or both majors, or big.
2C/D: this minor + a major
2H/S: natural

Over a weak NT:
Double: 14+
2C: Ss and either Hs or Cs
2D/H/S: as over strong NT
2NT: good majors or Cs
3C: Hs + Cs

While 2D has the same Meckwell meaning over strong or weak notrumps, the style Meckwell uses over weak notrump is different - they want their overcalls of weak notrumps to show playing strength - over a strong notrump it can be used as a blocking disruptive bid to just get the opponents out of 1NT - over a weak notrump it is used to show a hand that might combine well with partner's to produce game. While Steve Robinson when commentating in other match, expressed the view that game was unlikely after the opponents open a weak notrump opening, this is not accurate - perhaps he meant game was unlikely if one wasn't shapely.

Now here's board 5:


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Meckstroth overcalled 2D, showing diamonds and a major, Gill jumped to 4H to play, and Rodwell bid 4S, which should be partner's major (unless West made a quite clever white-versus-red psyche of 4H). Notice that Rodwell is bidding this on a 4-3-3-3, no ruffing value, and no fitting diamond honor. Now Richman, with a bunch of junk, bid 5H. It turns out one should pass the junk - does East really think this ace-less hand is going to help partner much? 5H bumps Meckstroth into 5S - void in hearts, a 6-5, should have play. Two clubs were cashed, but diamonds were picked up, and that was +850 Meckwell.

Here's the action in the other room:


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At Compton's final turn to bid, I have no idea why he is doubling, unless he believes he is in a forcing pass situation - that is since they freely bid 4H, when the opponents bid 4S, Hamman's pass of 4S is "forcing", and requires partner to double or bid again. This hand shows why "I have nothing more to say" passes are superior - just because you can make 4H, doesn't mean 4S (or even 5S) by the opponents is going down. Passing 4S would have won the USA 6 IMPs - here the double reduced the gain to 2 IMPs.

We returned to the big swings on board 6:


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In the Open Room, Richman opened the East hand with a weak notrump, and West just bid 3NT, making 10 tricks for +630. In this room Compton and Hamman launched an odyssey to 6D - it was certainly oddest that these two flat hands should propel themselves to this level. This was the auction 1C-(1H)-2D;-3D-3H;-3S-4C;-4D-4H;-5C-6D

For a successful auction, at some point East has to show a balanced hand, to frame the hand as a 12-14 flat hand type. The best spot for this should be 3NT over 3H, if the partnership would allow this on a partial stopper, after not bidding 2NT on the previous round. Once East bid 3S, he painted the wrong picture to his partner. Flat hands need to strive to bid notrump, and partnerships need to have allowances for this, such as only having partial stoppers.

After 13 IMPs on this board, Australia were running away with the match, 36-2.
Treasure Mine - Systems & Style - Chapter 1 - Australia USA - Part 1 of 3

The recent world championship gives us a treasure trove that can be examined to study systems and style implications for success.

Chapter 1 will be my favorite round robin match, Australia vs USA, in round 13. We will look at 6 boards that will cover all the IMPs scored except for 3 IMPs by each side. There are five major swings, and a board with a lot of action.

The match opened with a 10 IMP swing to Australia:


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We've discussed the Richman-Nagy system previously and Richman-Gill were using much the same thing - 1C is 15+, and here 1H is 9-14 with 4+Ss, can have a longer minor. Meckstroth overcalled 2D, Rodwell bid 2NT, raised to 3NT, and this was down since neither had a club stopper. Note that Rodwell passes initially, as they don't open 10s balanced. Meckwell needed more science here - for example a way for South to show a singleton club - but it is rare this will come up. If Rodwell had cuebid, the auction could have started (1H-)2D;-2S-2NT;-3D-3H. South can bid 2NT as forcing, as the cuebid promises a diamond fit, so the auction should continue to at least 3D. When South rebids 3H, North knows to move to a suit contract.

Here's the closed room auction:


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Compton opened a standard 1C, and after the 1D overcall, Hamman bid 2C where others might have jumped to 3C, weak (if available) or bid 1H (since they play 1C-1D as a transfer to Hs, it would work to play 1C-(1D)-Double as a transfer to Hs). Over 2C now Klinger could cuebid 3C and they reached the great 5D game - it's so good that 6D can be made on this layout, by declarer starting hearts with a heart to the ten to establish 4 heart tricks. Note a 3C preempt over 1D would leave North with a selection of unclear options - 3D, 4D, Double, 4C, each with their imperfections - it pays to consume bidding space, at least when partner is not strong either.

On board 4 (see below), Mullamphy, South, transferred to hearts, and 1H by Klinger showed 3 hearts. Now 4C showed short clubs, slam interest, and slam was quickly reached. Compton found the good trump lead, but the heart queen offside was countered by 3-3 diamonds, and the slam came in.


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In the open room, Rodwell started with a big 16+ club, East overcalled (likely 1S though vugraph shows 1NT, even though that is for the minors), Meckstroth bid 2H, Rodwell bid 3D as an artificial heart raise, Meckstroth rebid 3S to deny 2 of the top 3 hearts, and Rodwell settled for 4H. There they played, losing 13 IMPs. 1S doubled, if that could be the final contract, would be -800 or, if declarer misguesses spades (will be leading out of hand - has to lead king to bed queen) -1100. If East had been more distributional for his vulnerable overcall, it likely would have been right for Meckwell to stay out of slam. As it was the flat overcall worked this time on this layout, but I think it is a long term losing bid when vulnerable.

Friday, October 17, 2008

Finals - Last Board


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The last board of the finals has been interesting - here it is in the China-England womens final - West led a heart against 3NT, East won the ace, and returned the seven, which West ducked to retain communication - I'm certain that East did communicate after the contract made! At the other table with the same auction and lead, West did cover the heart queen - it appears England will win by just one IMP 223-222!

In the Seniors, USA had a 1 IMP lead heading into this board (the vugraph score was off by an IMP) - the USA NS auction was P-3D-P-3S;-P-4H(cuebid)-P-4S for down 3 -150. Japan bid P-3D-P-3S;-P-4S, and the undertricks were key. Both Wests led a small club into the AKJ - both declarers played heart queen, won by East with the ace. Now the Japanese East played a spade to stop ruffs, while the USA East played a club - Japan finished only down 1 for 3 IMPs gain and the championship 202-200!

In the Open, GoldTown bid P-3D-P-5D, while the Italians NS had P-P-1H-1S;-2NT(raise)-3D-P-3H;Pass-4H-Pass-5D. Both declarers started spades by playing up to the 8, taken with the king. Gold, perhaps looking for a swing, played the spade ace on the next round and went down 2, while the Italian finessed the spade jack and they had a 200-170 victory for the world championship.

Finals - Last Set - GoldTown takes on LV




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At the other table the auction was P-1NT-Double-2C;-Double-Pass-3NT, and South led the queen of spades - declarer can't cross to dummy without creating the setting trick, and was -100. In this room LV (Lauria-Versace) reached the nice 4H contract, but Gold found the incredible lead of the heart ten! Versace rose heart ace, and was down, for a push board instead of a swing to Italy.

Finals - Last Set - Italy 1K Ouch


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This hand was likely the 1Kiss of Death for the match - after 1D-1S, East scraped up 2NT given the state of the match, and West bid 3NT given the state of the match. North doubled 3NT given the state of the clubs - a "lead something else partner" double - West redoubled - perhaps showing doubt, or hoping 6 tricks might be good enough for a big number. However the big number was for Italy, after South led the spade ace to look around, then switched to clubs for -1000. In the other room, the auction was the same up to 3NT, but there was no double or redouble - only -200 and 13 IMPs to Italy.

Finals - Set 5 - Italy holds up

This is the biggest swing so far in set 5.


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Both rooms reached 4S, and both got the heart ace lead, and a switch to the diamond ten. In this room Jason Hackett won the diamond, ruffed a heart, played a club to the queen, ducked by North, and continued a club, won by North. Now North played his last diamond to South who played another diamond, and the contract was doomed - if declarer ruffs high, North discards a club and the spade ten will win a trick at some point. In the other room Versace made the good technical play of holding up on the diamond ten (not winning the first diamond). Later, when North was in with the club ace, he was out of diamonds to play to South and the contract made, for 10 IMPs to Italy.

Thursday, October 16, 2008

Finals - Set 4 - Luck loves bidders

A couple of boards where luck loved the bidders.



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With the heart king onside, 3NT came home. In the other room Gold tried a heavy weak two, using Multi, and they played in 2H to lose 10 IMPs.

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On board 8 Malinowski opened the 3-3-4-3 11 count and they got to 3NT when responder had a 9 count that was providing 6 tricks. When everything worked that was +400. In the other room, West, Nunes, passed, and East, Fantoni opened 3C. This was doubled, North bid 3S and played there for -100 and 7 IMPs.
Finals - Set 4 - GoldTown defeats the Gazzilli monster



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Both rooms started 1S-1NT;-? In the other room, Versace rebid 2C over 1NT, Gazzilli, either natural or 16/17+ any. North bid 2S to show less than 8 and 2+Ss, and there they stay making 6 on the helpful layout. At this table, Townsend was able to bid 2D, a transfer to hearts, and then over 2S, 3D natural. North's hand was improving, and so bid 4D, and South bid the game, made +400 and 5 IMPs.

Finals - Set 4 - Goldtown opens with a big swing




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With a long minor not headed by the ace or king, and no outside entry, Gold starts off with a 4C opening. This gets EW trapped at the four level with no good fit and they go -500. In the other room, Lauria starts with 3C (his other options include 3NT as a minor preempt, and 4C as a natural preempt), and Malinowski-Sandqvist arrange to land in 3NT for +400 and 14 IMPs to England, closing the gap.

Finals - Send it to Gold Town

The strongest English pair, at least so far, have been Gold-Townsend.

Here's 3 boards out of 4 in the 3rd set where GoldTown make 20 IMPs:


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In this set at the other table, Versace is West, Lauria is East. On board 8 at the other table, the bidding is P-P-1H-1S;-2H-4S-5H-5S;-All pass for -450 EW. At this table Gold opens 4H opposite a passed hand, and West knows to bail out to 6H, which is only -100 and 8 IMPs.


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Both tables start 1S-Double-4S-?. At this table Townsend passes over 4S, while Versace doubles and is -590. 5 IMPs to England.


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Both tables start 1C-1S-?. At the other table Lauria settles for 2NT, passed out and making just 120. At this table Gold evaluates the AQ96 of spades as perfect, and bids 3NT. Opening lead is T-J-K-A and the East hand is worth three spade tricks. Declarer starts diamonds and arrives with 10 tricks and 7 IMPs.
The finals - 4 boards - part IV

This is the last of four posts about swing hands in the second set of England-Italy. The first set Italy won by 16 IMPs (60-44), the third set Italy lost by 13 IMPs (17-30), and it was the second set (46-4) that gave them most of their 45 IMPs lead (123-78). We have looked at four boards that delivered a total of 41 IMPs to Italy.


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East, Sementa, opened 1C, natural. For the Hacketts, South overcalled 1NT, North used Puppet Stayman to show 4 spades but not four hearts, and then they arrived in 3NT. West led the jack clubs, knocking out dummy's entry. Declarer tried a spade, and Sementa smartly climbed up spade ace and fired back a spade to declarer's king. Now declarer tried a heart to the ten, but when East won the jack there was no way for 3NT to make here, and that was -200.

In the other room, East, Malinowski, open 1C, either 18+ any, or, as here, 12-14 balanced. South, overcalled 1NT, North used Stayman, South showed four hearts, North showed four spades and they ended in 3NT. West, Sandqvist, did not know which minor partner was best in. He knew East had not doubled 2C, but perhaps that was only done with a 18+ hand and/or really good clubs. Anyway West guessed to lead diamonds from the J9s in the minors, declarer quickly won and played back diamonds, and soon had +630 and 13 IMPs to Italy. This was a hand where it paid to be able to open 12-14 balanced with the longer minor.

The finals - 4 boards - part III

This is the third of four posts about swing hands in the second set of England-Italy. The first set Italy won by 16 IMPs (60-44), the third set Italy lost by 13 IMPs (17-30), and it was the second set (46-4) that gave them most of their 45 IMPs lead (123-78). We will look at four boards that delivered a total of 41 IMPs to Italy.


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The Hacketts tend to open and respond light, a proven successful style. Here they don't get to the great 6H contract. South opens 1H and hears brother bid 2H. South makes a slam try with 3S, showing shortness, and then gives up over 4H. The problem here is that North does not know how little South needs to make slam - since 2H ranges up to just below a limit raise, North will not know that very little is needed for slam - the 3S slam try is usually hunting for more useful values in the North hand than just a king outside the short suit.

Since the Hacketts play short suit game tries over 1H-2H, I think South should have started with one. If North had then rebid 3H (short suit was nice, but little values), now South can make a slam try that North can cuebid in reply, since he already denied a good hand with 3H. Thus the sequence could be 1H-2H;-2S(or whatever the short suit spade game try is)-3H;-3S-4D;-etc.

In the other room South, Nunes opened 1H, 5+Hs forcing (14+, or 11-13 Hs & Ss). North, Fantoni, forced to bid, responded 2H, a 0-6 raise. South, needing very little, tried for slam with 3S, a short suit slam try like the other room, and North with a decent 0-6 hand, then cuebid 4D to show the ace or king, and 6H was reached for 11 more IMPs to Italy.

The finals - 4 boards - part II

This is the second of four posts about swing hands in the second set of England-Italy. The first set Italy won by 16 IMPs (60-44), the third set Italy lost by 13 IMPs (17-30), and it was the second set (46-4) that gave them most of their 45 IMPs lead (123-78). We will look at four boards that delivered a total of 41 IMPs to Italy.


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On board 22 the Hackett twins bid all the way to 7 Diamonds!

South opened 1C, North responded 1D, East overcalled 1S, and now NS had the auction to themselves. South raised diamonds, North cuebid, South showed a spade stopper with 2NT, North set diamonds as trumps (and cuebid then 3D=game force), South showed heart shortness with 4H. Now it appears 4NT asked for keycards, 5NT showed two keycards and a useful void, and 7D placed the contract. As was said in an earlier post, try to be certain or close to certain of 13 tricks before bidding a grand, and here there was no way North had enough information to bid a certain 7D. Now it is possible that North could have taken 5NT as a grand slam try, but that does not seem possible after the mere 2D bid.

In the other room Malinowski made an awful overcall. South Nunes opened 2C 10-13 with clubs, North, Fantoni, responded 2D, which is either values, and/or a misfit trying for a better spot to land. Now East has a number of stop signs - vulnerable verus not, partner unable to make a takeout double of 2C even though East has club length, NS either have values or a misfit or both, bad spade spots. Instead East bids 2S, this swings around to North who doubles to show values, and South is happy to pass this for 800. Now Malinowski's 2S bid might have picked up IMPs if the Hacketts had halted in 6D but instead the action at the two tables combined for 13 IMPs to Italy.

The finals - 4 boards - part I

This is the first of four posts about swing hands in the second set of England-Italy. The first set Italy won by 16 IMPs (60-44), the third set Italy lost by 13 IMPs (17-30), and it was the second set (46-4) that gave them most of their 45 IMPs lead (123-78). We will look at four boards that delivered a total of 41 IMPs to Italy.


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On board 18, the Italian West opened 1H in third seat, and played there for +110. In the other room a system flaw bites Sandqvist Malinowski. Click on this link to see their cc:


The pair plays a version of the Polish Club. Just looking at their cc you can see that it is not as complete as it needs to be. Their one level D/H/S openings and their 2C opening cover 11-16 it says, and but 1C is 12-14 balanced or 18+ any. Thus they provided a cc that does leaves out 17s if unbalanced and without clubs. In addition the cc makes no mention on how they handle 4-4-1-4 (exactly) 12-17 hands.
An incomplete or vague cc can be symptomatic of system flaws - they have may not thought everything out.

On Board 18, West, Sandqvist, opened 1C (12-14 balanced, or 18+), this time with the big hand type. East, Malinowski, responded 1D, showing any 0-7 or 6-10 no major, or 16+ balanced. West rebid 1H, which, in Polish club styles, is either 12-14 balanced with 3 or 4 hearts, or 18 to a near game force with 4+ hearts, unbalanced often (a 1NT rebid over 1D would be 18-20 balanced).
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Now East bid 1NT on 4 high card points. What range is this 1NT rebid? They play the immediate 1C-1NT as 8-11, so presumably this 1NT will be less than 8. However West, with 18 high card points, now jumped to 3NT, which makes it look like West thought that 1NT is still 6-10. Either way East-West need to sort out what 1NT is: 4-7 in which case West should, at most, invite, or 6-10. As it was South led a spade against 3NT and the contract failed by 3 tricks, for 6 IMPs to Italy.

Wednesday, October 15, 2008

On board 8 of the England-Italy Open final, some commentators called board 8 a "cold slam" and "South dropped the ball":


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The 2H opening was 10-13 or a great 9. The commentators, looking at all four hands, can see, in 6 Clubs, 1 heart loser and no club loser by picking up the clubs - however will that happen? With only 13 high card points out declarer can reasonably play clubs to be 2-2, and the "cold slam" is down 1, just like it was in the Japan-US match when Japan was NS. It's important to always consider bridge hands from declarer's viewpoint, not just the double dummy "can see all four hands" possibilities. Likewise here 6 Spades is a better contract than 6 Clubs (club loser can be eliminated by ruffing the third round of clubs), but can North-South arrange to play in their 8 card fit instead of their 9 card fit? Here, instead of "dropping the ball" I think the Hacketts did well.

semis review and my pick for winner

my semis Open Picks review

Italy v Norway -> Italy W
England v Germany -> Germany L

1-1

my pick for winner

Italy v England -> Italy

who I want to win

England, with their two pairs playing four card majors (third pair plays Polish Club)

Hackett Twins:

4 card M (maybe canape if WK)
Frequent light opening
Semi-forcing NT response to 1D/H/S
5 card weak 2’s (D/H/S)
Intermediate jump shifts at 3-level , WK at 2-level
1NT Opening: 14-16 (1st/2nd), 15-17 (3rd/4th), 5M, 6m poss.
2 over 1 Responses: GF (except 1M-2C)

Townsend-Gold:

Four-card majors frequently when minimum.
1C = 18-20 balanced (no other 5-card suit) or natural
Transfer responses to 1C.
1NT Openings: (14) 15-17
2 OVER 1 Responses 11+ normally

I would blend this to get what I would love:

Four-card majors frequently when minimum (maybe canape)
Frequent light opening
1C = 17-19 balanced (no other 5-card suit) or natural
Transfer responses to 1C.
Semi-forcing NT response to 1D/H/S
5 card weak 2’s (D/H/S)
Intermediate jump shifts at 3-level , WK at 2-level
1NT Opening: 14-16 (all except 3rd V), 15-17 (3rd V), 5M, 6m poss.
2 over 1 Responses: GF (except 1M-2C)

Monday, October 13, 2008

R8 Review and picks for the semis

My R8 Open Picks

Italy v Poland -> Italy W
Romania v England -> England W
China v Norway -> Norway W
Netherlands v Germany -> Germany W

4-0!

My Semis Open Picks

Italy v Norway -> Italy
England v Germany -> Germany

Sunday, October 12, 2008

Just before the 17 IMPs disaster (see previous post), the USA lost 12 IMPs
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East opened 1D, which looks natural, but actually shows 4+ spades (and says nothing about diamonds). Meckstroth, white-vs-red vulnerability and with length in opener's suit, decided to make a four card suit overcall of 1H - for an interesting discussion see this thread on rec.games.bridge "Refuting Mike Lawrence's theory on 4-card overcalls":
http://groups.google.ca/group/rec.games.bridge/browse_thread/thread/bcb566f953f72d17/d12acb0682bc9517

When opener and overcaller both have length in the opening suit, this means responder and advancer (overcaller's partner) will be relatively short there and longer elsewhere. The bad hand for this set up is when responder is short in opener's suit and long in overcaller's, while advancer has just enough to raise the bidding level. After the 1H overcall, West passed, North raised to 2H, and West was able to double this for penalty. That was +500 to Poland. In the other room, 3NT by EW had no play on a spade lead, and that was 12 IMPs to Poland, the start of 29 IMPs on two boards.
In the USA-Poland 3rd quarter, Meckstroth lost 17 IMPs on this slam here:


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In 6 hearts, West led the spade 5 (in Poland, it is very common to lead low from xx - they call it 2/4, which means lead either 4th best or 2nd best, low from doubleton being 2nd best). Meckstroth played low from dummy, East falsecarded with the spade queen (hiding the jack) and declarer won ace. Meckstroth cashed the heart king, then played the diamond nine to the jack and king. East returned the heart eight, won by the ten, and now Meckstroth unblocked diamonds by cashing the diamond queen - except it didn't cash - East ruffed it and that was 17 IMPs to Poland. I expect this hand to make the newspapers, as most readers would have played the diamond queen to start diamonds, not the nine to the jack (and some readers would develop reasons why they would start diamonds by nine to the ace dropping the singleton king) - thus it is a case where declarer may have got too fancy, or at least too clever for this layout. In the other room a club lead into the AQ left declarer in excellent shape and their slam rolled in, putting Poland comfortably ahead 106-71.

After Meckstroth had gone down in a makeable 4 spades (and that the Vugraph records show an ending where he would have had to make it unless he forgot the cards out, thus I can't blog it without finding out how the records are wrong), the USA picked up 15 necessary IMPs here:






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Note how it works to have the agreement that after a 3rd seat 1NT, double is values by 4th seat - after pass-pass-1NT-?, 4th seat will often have considerable values behind the 1NT bidder, even when 1NT is strong. If you have methods against weak notrumps, use them against 3rd seat strong NTs.

You can see how EW needed to have a runout which clearly shows a long minor to opener - here EW got to 2D, but West made a SOS redouble and got to 2HX and -1400. If you play system on over 1NT-X, you should play redouble as 5 in a minor and less than a good game invite. In the other room the 1NT opening was left unscathed by NS, and went down two for just -200, and 15 IMPs for the USA, making it 127-100 Poland. However the rest of the boards were not working for the US, and Poland had a well deserved victory.

Board 21 of the second half of the US-Poland match featured Bob Hamman and discarding:



.

.

.


.

.

.


Both tables were in 3NT by East and both South players led a fourth best heart. Declarer ran off four club tricks and South had to make two discards. Hamman discarded two small diamonds! Now declarer took a spade finesse, cashed the other high spade, put Hamman in with a heart, but found out he had a spade exit and that was down one. At the other table, South discarded a spade and a diamond on the clubs, and South found himself endplayed in the red suits (either forced to lead away from the diamond king, or forced to play small in hearts so that declarer wins the trick). That made it 110-84 Poland-USA after this board and gave hopes to a USA rally.

Saturday, October 11, 2008

R16 Review and picks for the round of 8

My R16 Open Picks

Italy v India -> Italy W
Israel v Romania -> Israel L
Brazil v China -> Brazil L
Netherlands v Estonia -> Netherlands W
Norway v Turkey -> Norway W
Germany v Belgium -> Germany W
Poland v USA -> USA L
England v Bulgaria -> Bulgaria L

4-4 = yuck

My R8 Open Picks

Italy v Poland -> Italy
Romania v England -> England
China v Norway -> Norway
Netherlands v Germany -> Germany

Friday, October 10, 2008

Review and picks for the round of 16

Here's the Round Robin Review:

Group A (excluding Canada)
#1 Italy (1)
2-4 South Africa (10), France (5), Denmark (6)
Alternate: Ireland (8)
Out: Albania, Brazil(2), China Macau, Estonia(3), Finland, Kenya, Japan, Pakistan, Romania(4), Slovakia, Trinidad

Group B
#1 Netherlands (2)
2-4 Russia (8), Sweden (6), China(3)
Alternate: Argentina (9)
Out: Austria, French Polynesia, Hong Kong, Hungary, India(4), Israel(1), Jamaica, Korea, Latvia, Mexico, Portugal, San Marino, Scotland

Group C
#1 Norway (1)
2-4 Egypt (10), Poland (2), Bulgaria (3)
Alternate: Iceland (9)
Out: Bangladesh, Belgium(4), Bermuda, Bosnia, Chile, Chinese Taipei, Georgia, Monaco, New Zealand, Spain, Ukraine

Group D
#1 USA (3)
2-4 Germany (1), England (2), Australia (11)
Alternate: Turkey (4)
Out: Belarus, Botswania, Greece, Indonesia, Jordan, Lebanon, Lithuania, Philippines, Reunion, Serbia, Switzerland, Thailand, Venezuela

Group A, which I should know the best (review work for Canada), I did the worst on!  I thought Estonia might be dangerous (they play a fair bit on BBO), but inconsistent - instead they were fairly solid.  Romania was quite surprising.  Brazil is always a concern, but I had liked a few other teams better.

In Group B I had thought about Israel and India, but had liked teams like Sweden and Russia better.  I needed more I in my picks.

Group C was close, except for the disappointing Egypt.  The Belgium team had prep'ed well with BBO matches against the Cayne squads, and I'm pleased I was wrong about them.
 
Group D was close too, except for Australia which started in awful form.

Canada started in good form, had a few bad patches, climbed back into a playoff spot, and then drove off the track at the end of the last match, finishing 5 VPs out of 4th spot.  Clearly they just needed to do better on a few key hands and they would have qualified.  Still they were not playing in the form to win the whole shebang, so they faced exit at some point.

My R16 Open Picks

Italy v India -> Italy
Israel v Romania -> Israel
Brazil v China -> Brazil
Netherlands v Estonia -> Netherlands
Norway v Turkey -> Norway
Germany v Belgium -> Germany
Poland v USA -> USA
England v Bulgaria -> Bulgaria

Thursday, October 09, 2008

Epic Fail at the Regional and Epic Fume at the Worlds

The use of the phrase "epic fail" has been growing exponentially on the Internet (over 2 million google hits for the exact phrase), especially among the young. At first one might assume it means catastrophic failure, and it could be mentioned in discussions about recent events in the financial world. However it tends to be used more to mean spectacular failure, where the actual failure doesn't have much impact, but is quite conspicuous.

I did something -very- stupid at the regional on Tuesday (I use -very- as a placeholder for any adjective that accentuates the stupid - fundamentally stupid) - in younger terms it was an epic fail.

For a while now I've been enamoured with finding hand types that are strong enough to open, but that one chooses to pass first and then enter the bidding on a subsequent round, potentially catching the opponents by surprise with the playing value of the hand. Trials of various hand types, not discussed beforehand with partner, have been a steady stream of dismal results.

Tuesday night in pre-game chatter with our upcoming opponents, I was given a decent 6-7 majors hand (i.e. both minors void) to bid. I suggested pass first, and then back into the bidding with a Michaels cuebid, or some other bid that shows both majors. This was probably rotten advice, as some bounces by the opponents will leave this hand badly jammed and denied an easy way into the auction.

Later that night, I held the South hand below:


KQ
KJ863
AQ
9872
J75
54
T4
AKQJ64

I went to the well once more following this pass then bid concept. The idea was that bidding clubs initially would just help the opponents evaluate their hands better (no wasted club values), and if by chance I got on lead against a notrump contract, I would know what to do.

The problem was that after the auction 1D by LHO, 1H by partner, 2D by RHO, there was no call that could show my playing value, and so we languished in a part score. As dummy came down, I resolved to quit this -very- stupid bidding. Fortunately the hand did not cost us anything in the final result, but it was certainly an epic fail.

A board in the France-Canada match late Tuesday (or too early Tuesday depending on your time zone) has had me fuming for two days now - an epic fume you could call it. In his latest ACBL Bulletin column, Zeke Jabbour argues that at the top levels, bidding is the most frequent source of errors. This is not to say that Zeke Jabbour believes in system (see his quote I used here: http://www.bridgematters.com/readthis.htm), but he does believe in solid, you-can-count-on-this partnership agreements.















In the room France bid these hands to 3NT - the auction started 1C by East, 2D preemptive overcall by South, and this is one of the hands Stacy refers to in this blog post of hers http://stacyjacobs.com/2008/10/07/commenting-on-commenting/ , and the 3D call she had recommended as one of the commentators. Stacy liked the West hand to make a direct 3D cuebid over the 2D preemptive jump overcall, instead of the negative double chosen by the player at the table, which got the player stuck bidding 3NT on the next round as nothing else looked appealing - that was the end of the bidding.















In the other room Canada had a melt-up (same problems as a meltdown, but as result of going up too much). This is a board that Jabbour could use in his column as the poster boy of expert bidding generating errors. It also is a hand that the late Barry Crane could use as the example for his rule imposed on his teammates never to bid grands. The alert of 2H said that it showed 4+ club support, and 4C might be a keycard ask in clubs.

My rule for grands is to never bid them if they are a percentage chance of making - bid the sure things only, and some of those grands that seemed like sure things on the bidding, will turn out to require some luck when dummy comes down. Don't try to win the event by bidding a grand!

I've been fuming about this hand ever since it happened. How could the Canadian pair, with a few simple bids, be convinced that the grand was cold? Clearly the bidding went off the rail somewhere, but my suggestion here is to be extra careful in making that try for the grand, or your fans might get trapped in an epic fume. However just like hockey teams are forgiven for all their regular season transgressions if they make the playoffs, the team can play well on Friday to make us forget everything before, and this blog can be a no fuming zone.

Tuesday, October 07, 2008

Ottawa Regional and Ken Allan's Deadly Endplay

The Ottawa regional starts today and I look forward to seeing some friends, playing some bridge, and taking pictures of the major event winners.  One person I hope to photograph is Kingston Ontario's Ken Allan, who has recently published a bridge mystery "Deadly Endplay" - for cover art and a summary see Ken's bridge web pages, including this one on the book itself:


The book is available from bridge supplier and bookseller Vince Oddy who will be at the regional.  This is a book many should consider buying, and let me tell you why I think that.

First off, the art work for the book is fantastic, the best I've ever seen for bridge fiction.  The art work involves many mirrored reflections throughout the book, which matches the book's thesis that a player's personality is reflected in the way bridge hands are tackled.  

The novel is set in a small northern Ontario town, and it has the whimsical small town feel, from the peculiar characters of the local bridge club to the pacing of the plot.  For those used to a kinetic, urban style, this will take a few pages to get smallvilled, but after a while the place and players grow on you, to the point when you reach the end, you're left hoping for a sequel. The book is a bridge mystery, both as it deeply involves the bridge game, and because it has a puzzling death of someone off a bridge.   There are a number of smaller clever mini-mysteries interweaved in the book involving secrets and backstories that surprise us.  

For a novel, there is a lot of bridge in this book, much of it focused at the club level player, with suggestions subtly given on how to improve your game.  This is not a book peppered with unbelievable hands that one would never see in real play.  Instead everything is kept real, just like the characters and outcome.  

The bottom line is this book will resonate with you long after you read it, and even though the book will not change your personality, you will soon notice the bridge advice given in the book reflected in the hands you play.

Monday, October 06, 2008

Mind Sports & The Next Board

Peter King is one of the best sport writers, and his Monday Morning Quarterback is a must-read for NFL fans.  Today he has a great quote from the NY Jets coach:
I think this is what the first month of the season has taught Eric Mangini about Brett Favre: "The biggest thing he brings to the team is he's exactly the same the next play whether the play's a big success or a failure. You try to teach your players that the only thing that matters is the next play, and to have such a great example of that on your team has been fantastic. With Brett, there's never a sense the game is over. He'd never act like it was anyway."

Imo, these are key attributes in bridge as well - the ability to focus on the next board, not the last one, and to never give up if there's a chance.

That said, to play Favre's position one still needs to have the talent to be a NFL QB, and that includes the ability to make good decisions quickly and under pressure.   This corresponds to the Time & Space concept that is key in today's professional hockey - from USA hockey magazine:
Time & Space

The goal is to limit time and space so you can gain control of the puck as quickly as possible: 

- Get on your opponent quickly before he has a chance to assess the situation and make a play

- Once you have proper coverage, you can quickly get on the puck carrier to limit the time he has with the puck

- Limit the space or deny use of the best space (Middle of the ice) until there's enough support to pressure the puck and thereby eliminate time.

This matches the pressure bidding concepts:

- Get into the bidding immediately

- Take away bidding opportunities from the next opponent to bid

- Bounce the bidding to limit the bidding space available for the opponents below game for them to explore for best strain and level

Mind sports often share some of the same ideas as the athletic sports.

--- ---
For the players, the best competitive approach is to focus on resting and prep work for the next match, when between matches, and to focus solely on the board being played during the match.  Regardless of the disaster or phenomenal result that just occurred, regardless of the errors that partner just executed, regardless of how out-of-sync the partnership was in the bidding of the last hand, forget what took place and concentrate solely on the new board, what is occurring, how your opponents are reacting, how you are not giving away tells to your screenmate, how you can make partner's next decision as easy as possible, how you can make the opponents decisions hard.

It's about the next board, so why talk or think about the last?

--- ---

For the Canadian Open team players, it is not about the South African match, a bad loss, or the great wins before that.  It's not about thinking ahead to the tough match against France later today, or the hopefully easier matches against teams with no chance of qualifying out of the round robin. It's about the match against Slovakia, and not even the whole match - it's about the next board - that's the sole horizon.

--- ---

For the team captain, like a coach in sports, it is about the upcoming matches, and putting the players in the best position to do their utmost. While the players focus on the next board, the captain has to consider a further horizon - how to win enough to get into the playoffs.  Just like pro sports the coach should not start planning for the playoffs until they are a lock.  Instead the captain focuses on the upcoming matches, and how the captain can motivate, guide, arrange and assist the players into achieving their common goal.

For example of this, see the blog of the NPC of Canada's Open team:

--- ---

For the fans of the team, they can think ahead, and they can indulge in what-ifs and what-could-have-beens.  The fans can look at the upcoming schedule, and estimate or hope what might occur.  They can allocate blame, if they believe there should be some, and they can highlight team or individual triumphs.  For the fans, it's not about the next board, which might be just humdrum - its about the drama, the big picture, the defeats, the battles, the victories, the championships.

For example Linda Lee is extensively blogging, including estimating how some teams will do each day:
--- ---

Its fun being a sports fan this time of year, with football, hockey, baseball, and more.  This week and next its fun being a mind sports fan too!

Saturday, October 04, 2008

Prep for the Worlds 08

In the Worlds 08 events, teams often invest some time in preparing for their opponents. Canada's Senior team, leading their group after day 1, had each team member look at 2 or 3 of their opponents, and determine what, if anything, required some countermeasures.

Btw the Canadian teams are blogging at:
http://www.cbf.ca/WorldEvents/2008/FirstMindSports/
In particular see Open Team NPC David Willis's (not the David Willis with the newspaper column) blog at: http://davewillis08.blogspot.com/

For the Open team we looked at the 16 opposing teams, and categorized the various methods that could be encountered - it is "could" since most teams have 3 pairs, but only 2 of those will sit in any one match. One might not face the strangest systems even after getting ready for them.

For the methods the open team might encounter, a booklet on countermeasures was prepared. However this booklet might never be actually used in bidding of any of the matches. Here's why:

- Each Canadian pair has their own methods against commonly used openings
- As mentioned above, the Canadian team may not face some of the more unusual systems
- Unusual openings and follow-ups may never occur in the 16 board matches
- The Canadian pairs may decide to use natural bidding against anything mindboggling

Here's the table of contents for the booklet:

Table of Contents
Introduction

A. Generic Defences and Definitions
A0 Definitions
A1 General Principles
A2 Generic Defence to Artificial Openings
A3 Generic Defence to Artificial Preempts and Artificial Raises
A4 Generic Defence to No-suit Openings and Transfers
A5 Junkyard Defence
A6 Defence to Two-suited overcalls

B. Specific Defences

B-MAP 08 Defence Map (this codes each item with a letter - for examples P is a Polish Club, T is a two-way club)

B-A Defence to Canape
B-B Defence to Big C
B-C Defence to Short 1C
B-D Defence to 2D short in Ds
B-E Defence to 2H short in Ds, 11-15 (or so)
B-F Defence to 2D Flannery (5Hs, 4Ss)
B-G Defence to 2H Flannery (5Hs, 4Ss)
B-HISV Defence to 2M for 5+M and a minor or 2M for 5+M and any other suit
B-J Defence to 2C either strong or weak-two in Ds
B-K Defence to 2C or 2D for Majors (no strong option)
B-LM Defence to Multi
B-N Defence to 1D opening that could be short as 2, 1, or 0
B-O Defence to 2M = Majors
B-PT Defence to Polish 1C, 1C forcing that includes a mix and 2-way forcing 1C
B-Q Defence to 2C opening for Majors, with strong option
B-R Defence to 2NT for minors
B-U Defence to 3NT unknown suit preempt and/or gambling
B-W Defence to Weak and mini notrumps
B-XZ Defence to Mexican 2D (18-19 bal), or strong artificial 2D Opening
B-Y Defence to 4C and 4D Strong Major Preempt (NAMYATS)

B-! Defence to Rare Bids
B-!1 Defence to Transfer preempts
B-!2 Defence to strange 3NT openings
B-!3 Defence to strange 4NT openings
B-!4 Defence to 3C any solid suit
B-!5 Defence to 2NT = 4Hs + minor
B-!6 Defence to 2S any solid suit, or 2S opening with just 4Ss
B-!7 Defence to 3C/D Intermediate, 2H/S M+m Intermediate
B-!8 Defence to 2C Three Suited
B-!9 Defence to 2NT Majors or minors, 12-16
B-!10 Defence to 1C 11-15 Cs or 18+ any

C. Miscellaneous Defences
C1 Generic Two-suited Bids
C2 Lead Directional Doubles of Splinter Bids
C3 Defence to 3rd Seat 1NT Openings













This hand puzzled me from the Aussie-England match.

1D was a transfer opening, showing 4+Hs 9-14. North clearly intended 2H as if West had passed - 3+Hs, 6-8 (4Hs only if balanced). East showed a singleton/void in Cs with spade support, game going values, and now South was not on the same page as North - first North cuebids 4S to show a singleton/void in spades, and then raises 5C to 6C. South's sequence looks like he forgot he showed hearts with 1D! The result was -1400 and -16 IMPs and an awful start to this event for this pair.

Friday, October 03, 2008

One way to make the playoffs

If you want to "game" the conditions of contest for the Worlds, and try to make the playoffs with just average talent, your best approach is to play a strange, but round robin legal, system.  Why is this your best chance?

You have average talent: nothing is going to boost your talent to a top team level quickly
Edge: you need an edge over the other average talent teams in your group

Playing strange methods gives you advantage over the many second tier teams in the events. That's because these teams can't afford the time and effort to determine effective methods to use against the strange methods, and to practice them.  In many cases, teams you will play against will have only given a cursory look at your methods. 

What might a strange system be?  Here's a made-up example:

1C: 10-11 no 4 card major or 17+ any
1D: 0+Ds, 10-16
1H: 4+Hs, 10-16
1S: 4+Ss, 10-16
1NT: 13-16 balanced, may have a singleton
2C: 4+Hs, up to 11
2D: 4+Ss, up to 11
2H: Both majors, 8 to 12
2S: 6+Ss, 10-13
2NT: Both minors, up to 11

Now we see the second part of the "game" - this system, as disclosed on your cc, will be vague. For example, what does the 2C opening really show - could it be a flat hand with 4Hs and 0-11, or is it always unbalanced, and will it sometimes or often have a second suit?  In what seats and at what vulnerability can 2C be opened in the 0-5 range, and when is 2C opened with 10-11, given 1H is described as 10-16?  Does a pass in 1st or 2nd seat always show less than 10, and, given that, could 2C be strong in 3rd seat, and especially 4th seat?

Since your team only has average talent, and there are over 70 teams in the open event alone, most with 3 pairs each, nobody has enough time to verify that all the cc's are up to the detail they should be.

Next imagine you are on one of the other teams in the event, and you have not been prep'ed about this strange system, before you sit down against it. It goes 2C opening on your right - you ask, and are told its 4+Hs, up to 11. Now is double takeout of hearts?  Is 2H by you Michaels, and if so, how strong, or could 2H be natural, since their hearts could be terrible. Fortunately you don't have opening points, so you decide to pass.  Now the player on your left passes, which you find out means either long clubs, no game interest, or any very bad hand without 3 or longer hearts.  Now your partner bids 2H - is this natural, or Michaels - if you now bid 3C is that a cuebid?  How much do you need to bid 2NT and which suits are stopped?

As you can see the strange system puts opponents at a considerable disadvantage - it places them into situations of confusion and uncertainty - and even if they spend a little time getting ready, such as deciding to play their defence to a weak 2 in hearts over the 2C opening, they could not be ready for the ramifications of the 2C-Pass-Pass-? sequence.

Say you have 17 other teams in your group - against 5 other teams you plan to do average, or not get killed.  Against the other dozen teams, you hope to win, sometimes big, with your edge generating errors by the opponents.   If all works well, you slide into the last playoff spot in your group, while a team with better talent, but just playing boring 2/1 or big club methods hits the sidelines.

Success?  Yes, but just temporarily.   Now you are in the playoffs and playing teams with super talent, often with team support such as coaches. Your team is approached to clarify your methods, and in the meantime your playoff opponent arms themselves with countermeasures. Super talent prevails, and your team is out, with everybody wondering in the aftermath of the carnage how you made it so far.

Now you can't use this approach that well in the Bermuda Bowl, since, you are already in the playoffs, in a way, given the reduced number of teams entered.  It also doesn't work that well where the field is open, and then littered with super talented teams.  It works best when countries are each limited to one team, and most countries send a team - now there are quite a number of teams to be taken of advantage of, by playing legal methods, but that are strange and vague to the opponents.

Can the WBF rectify this concern?  Yes, they can, but since it will rarely, if ever, change the overall winners, it is not necessary.  To rectify, they need to first establish a standard system to be used as a default, such as is used in the World Individual events:

Then, the WBF needs to have a vetting approach where a panel (communicating via the Internet) reviews each submitted cc, and insists on each cc being clear.  For the example system above, it might turn out the one bids of the system really are:

1C: 10-11 5-4/4-5 in the minors with a 5-4-3-1 shape, or 17+ any
1D: 0+Ds, 10-16, no five card or longer major, if balanced 11 to 13, and if 10-11 unbalanced must have a 6 card or longer minor with no 4 card major
1H: 4+Hs, 10-16, 10-11 rare, 4Hs only in 3/4 seat and only if a great suit in a balanced/semi-balanced hand
1S: 4+Ss, 10-16, 10-11 rare, 4Ss only in 3/4 seat and only if a great suit in a balanced/semi-balanced hand
1NT: 13++ to  16 balanced, may have a singleton if 1-4-4-4 exactly 14-16

If the panel is not complied with by the deadline, the WBF imposes the default cc on the pair - the pair would be able to appeal this decision, but it will be up to them to show how their cc meets the requirements for clarity and disclosure.

Third, the WBF arranges for defences to be prepared and made available to all teams for any new wacky openings being used in the event.  These would be at most a page long, per defence, and provide the basis for teams to be prepared, if they want to.

Will this happen?  No, but that doesn't mean it isn't a good idea for the WBF to consider it for world championships in the even years, such as Worlds 08.

Thursday, October 02, 2008

World Open Teams

Here are my picks (aka guesses) for the World Open Teams, starting on Saturday.  The "Alternate" selection is the team I think in the group that will best challenge the top 4 for a qualifying spot.

Group A *
#1 Italy
2-4 South Africa, France, Denmark
Alternate: Ireland
Out: Albania, Brazil, China Macau, Estonia, Finland, Kenya, Japan, Pakistan, Romania, Slovakia, Trinidad

Group B
#1 Netherlands
2-4 Russia, Sweden, China
Alternate: Argentina
Out: Austria, French Polynesia, Hong Kong, Hungary, India, Israel, Jamaica, Korea, Latvia, Mexico, Portugal, San Marino, Scotland

Group C
#1 Norway
2-4 Egypt, Poland, Bulgaria
Alternate: Iceland
Out: Bangladesh, Belgium, Bermuda, Bosnia, Chile, Chinese Taipei, Georgia, Monaco, New Zealand, Spain, Ukraine

Group D
#1 USA
2-4 Germany, England, Australia
Alternate: Turkey
Out: Belarus, Botswania, Greece, Indonesia, Jordan, Lebanon, Lithuania, Philippines, Reunion, Serbia, Switzerland, Thailand, Venezuela

* Group A does not include Canada in this post, as it is impossible for me to objectively rate the team's chances - ideally they win the gold medal - I really would like Canada to also win the gold in the Womens and Seniors events - best wishes to all teams!

Wednesday, October 01, 2008

Packaging raises and preparing for the best and worst - part 3

This post is the third of three on raises.

Playing standard, you have a 3-2-2-6 shape (6Cs), partner opens 1C, next player passes, and you have:

8 points - you bid 2C, 5 to 10 with club support
11 points - you bid 3C, 10 to 12 with club support, game invite
13 points - you have no bid - you could try 1S on just 3 spades (yuck), or bid 1D on 2 (double yuck), or 3NT with a hidden fit (triple yuck)

You need a way of handling the forcing raise.  If you stick with just 2C and 3C as your primary club raises, there are several ways of allocating the raises by packing more into the 2C raise:

a) Inverted minors, with 2C as 9+, and 3C as the 5-8 (with flaws discussed in the last post)
b) 2C 5 to 11, includes game invites, and 3C game forcing
c) 2C less than a game invite or game forcing

Although b) might seem to be troublesome to play, it's not the bad - both opener and responder will often have a chance to show extras (for responder, game invite values) by bidding below 3C, and if the bidding has quickly got above 3C, responder's double is used to show the game invite values.

Likewise c) is quite manageable - the game forcing hand is relatively rare, and it can "come alive" by showing strength on the next turn to bid.  If the responding structure includes 3H and 3S as splinters (with a club fit, game forcing), and perhaps a 3D splinter, then the game forcing hand is easy to distinguish later, and will often double to show the strength and 2-3 cards in the suit doubled.

In both a) and c) 2C is forcing, which allows the opponents to avoid bidding on some marginal hands.  a) bids quickly to the 3 level on weak hands, but this can hurt the opening side sometimes.

Some partnerships incorporate a third bid as a club raise.  Schemes include:

d) 2C=standard, 3C=preemptive, 2D=game invite or better
e) 2C=game invite or better, 2D=constructive (decent standard single raise), 3C=really preemptive (no game opposite 18-19 balanced)
f) 2C=game forcing, 3C=really preemptive, 2D=constructive or game invite
g) 2C=standard, 3C=game invite, 2D=game force
h) 2C=constructive or game invite, 3C=really preemptive, 2D=game force

In ACBLland the advantage of the last three schemes is that you can put more into the game forcing bid, since it can represent a set of game forces, not just raises.  For example with g) and h), 2D could be game force balanced, club raise, or any long suit slam try.  Now opener bids 2H if balanced, 2S if unbalanced, and then responder bids 2NT to show balanced, 3C to show a club raise (can be slam try), and any other suit bid is a long suit slam try.

The problem with telling the opponents your range is it allows them to draw a bead on their target zone for their contracts.  Since opener will tend to have minimum values, 12-14, often balanced or semi-balanced, the opponents can estimate fairly well whether they should compete and how high they need to compete to.

If it goes 1C-2C, standard, 5-10, opponents can assume they have 16 to 23 points, will need to compete and investigate if there is a game.  If it goes 1C-2C, inverted, 9+, opponents can assume they have 0 to 19 points, can compete if shapely, and should only move towards game if quite shapely as a two-way shot - either it makes (rare) or it's a good sacrifice.  

Now, to show the extreme, if 1C-2C is a wide ranging raise, 0 to any, the opponents do not know what they need to target.  Say the opponents focus on the 3-14 possibility of the raise.  Now, if opener is a minimum 12-14, they have somewhere between 12 and 25 points.  They may need to stay out of the auction, or compete, or get to game, or even find a shapely slam.  
This raise, while it looks completely unwieldy, is actually playable, since opener will often a sufficient space to indicate if they would accept a game invite or not, and if they are 18-19 balanced.  The unbalanced hands that are better than a mere game invite are not a problem, since they will have enough shape and values to want to propel the partnerships beyond 3C - even if 4C was going down, the opponents will have their own nice spot.

What are some of the problems in this raise?  First, it gives the opponents considerable room - they can double, bid 2D/H/S/NT, cuebid, bid 3D/H/S/NT etc.  Second it is forcing, so the opponents know they get a second chance to act, albeit perhaps at an uncomfortable level when responder is able to bounce the bidding at their second turn.

To take up bidding space, we would prefer an artificial raise closer to 3C. However it can't be 2NT if responder can have some values but often with a singleton/void or weak doubleton, as this would badly position a possible 3NT contract.  The "next best thing", or closed to 3C thing, is 2S.

What about the 2C bid - can what can this be used for?  First we would like for it to be non-forcing, so that the opponents are under some pressure to act.  Second, we want the bid to range up to a game invite, and to be made on as little as zero, so the opponents can't target well.  Third, we would like to remove the guaranteed fit for the opponents - if 2C promises 5+, the opponents almost always have a 8+ fit.  

For the game invite hands we can afford to bid 2C on a balanced 11-12 with 3-4 clubs, since we are comfortable rebidding 2NT if necessary.  Thus the first set of hands we will put into 2C will be 3-5Cs, game invites, no singleton/void, no 4 card major.  Now if the opponents just faced that, they would figure out they had no guaranteed fit (since they might have 7 clubs, and then less length elsewhere), and they have 14-17 points - generally they want to stay out of the bidding unless quite shapely.

Now let's package 2C with 0-6 5+Cs, and a hand that has a most a game invite opposite 18-19 balanced, but wants to raise clubs to show a fit and introduce an obstacle for the opponents.  Now if the opponents were just concerned with this set of hands, their target would be 20-28 points with 8+ fit very likely - now they want to bid.

When we package 2C as:
- 0-6 5+Cs, no 4cM
- 10/11-12, game invite, 3-5 Cs, no 4cM, no singleton/void

The opponents target zone increases to 14-28 points, and if in the 14-17 range there is no guaranteed fit.  They face auctions like 1C-Pass-2C-Double;-Pass-2H-?, and now responder can bid 3C with 5Cs, either game invite or 0-6, and can pass with game invite with exactly 2Hs and 3/4 Cs, and can double with a game invite with exactly 3Hs and 3/4 clubs.  However if they don't enter the bidding they risk getting stolen from when responder has the 0-6.

What about the 2S artificial club raise - what we have left (after 2C as above, and 3C as in the second series in this post), is 6/7+ (a game force opposite 18-19 balanced), 5+Cs and either a major suit singleton/void and/or 6+Cs (if not major suit singleton/void then game invite), packaged with 4+Cs no major suit singleton game force.  Over 2C, a structure could be:

2NT: would accept a shapely game invite or better hand, asking responder to show hand type including singleton unless minimum (after 3C minimum, 3D would re-ask for shortness, 3NT=short Ds).
3C: minimum, not enough to accept a shapely game invite
3D/H/S: a suit that opener wants to be in at least a club game if responder has a singleton/void in the suit
3NT: 18-19 balanced, not that interested in knowing any singleton/void

What's the opponents target zone? - they have 22 or less points, and likely a fit.  They might have a game if near maximum and shapely.  Thus if the opponents are carefully not to come into the bidding without values (to avoid the cases where responder has a game force flat hand that can double on the next turn to bid) this raise does not cause the opponents a lot of grief. However it does consume bidding space: if the double of 2S is takeout of clubs, the opponents will have to bid 3S to overcall in spades, while if the double of 2S shows spades, 2NT and/or 3C has to be used for takeout of clubs - either way the opponents are at the three level fast.  Even better, opener can often bounce after the raise if unbalanced - club fit and if responder has less than game going values will have a singleton/void and/or very long clubs.

Here's the raise structure, all with no 4 card or longer major:

2C: 0-6 5+Cs OR game invite 3-5Cs no singleton/void
2S: 6/7+ 5+Cs with a major suit singleton/void OR game invite 6+Cs OR 4+Cs game force no singleton/void in a major
3C: 6/7-10 5+Cs with no major suit singleton/void

Note the driver on these minor suit raises: how can we change the risk/reward ratio for the opponents so they are reluctant to compete effectively when we have a minor fit?   We did it by considering the situation from the perspective of the opponents, and then changing and packaging our raises.

Here are some useful characteristics of the raise structure:

a) 3C as 6/7-10 has higher frequency compared to 5-8 or just a game invite. 
b) Having 2C as the game invite with 3+Cs, allows for positioning of the notrump contract to be chosen (perhaps responder has xx or xxx in a major), and it frees up the 2NT response.  Thus 1C-2NT can be a natural game force - with a balanced game invite (3+Cs) start with 2C - if opener passes this you are in a good low spot.
c) It allows you to respond to 1C with support and 0 points - no need to give the opponents lots of room to find the best game or even slam.

What if you want to use 1C-2C as an artificial game forcing asking bid? Now it might be better to combine the 2S and 2C raises into a wide ranging 2D raise (see The Bridge Pirate Club post), except move the flat game forcing hands into the 2C asking bid.  The idea is if 2D is a wide ranging raise, the opponents are faced with too wide a target zone to cover in their reduced bidding space, while opener on rebid can narrow down opening hand types and leave responder in charge.